Novartis discards one of its ‘wild card’ drugs after it flops in key study. But it takes one more for the hand

21 Jul 2021
Always remember just how risky it is to gamble big on small studies. A little more than 4 years ago, Novartis reportedly put up a package worth up to $1 billion for the dry eye drug ECF843 after a small biotech called Lubris put it through its paces in a tiny study of 40 moderate to severe patients, tracking some statistically significant markers of efficacy. By last fall, the program had risen up to become one CEO Vas Narasimhan’s top “wild card” programs in line for a potential breakthrough year in 2021. These drugs were all considered high-risk, high-reward efforts. And in this case, risk won.
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