Article
Author: Winokur, Patricia L ; Gilbert, Peter B ; Chen, Shiyu ; Falsey, Ann R ; Molitor, Cindy ; Wang, Jing ; Mahgoub, Siham M ; Kamidani, Satoshi ; Bäcker, Martín ; Zhang, Bo ; Immergluck, Lilly C ; Branche, Angela R ; Fong, Youyi ; Diemert, David J ; Magaret, Craig A ; Fusco, Dahlene N ; Netzl, Antonia ; Busch, Sydney ; Roberts, Paul C ; Baden, Lindsey R ; Goepfert, Paul A ; Fintzi, Jonathan ; Jackson, Lisa A ; Little, Susan J ; Rouphael, Nadine G ; Presti, Rachel M ; Rupp, Richard ; Makowski, Mat ; Borate, Bhavesh ; Babu, Tara M ; Dang, Lauren ; Mu, Jinjian ; Luetkemeyer, Anne F ; Graciaa, Daniel S ; Novak, Richard M ; Makhene, Mamodikoe K ; Posavad, Christine M ; Whitaker, Jennifer A ; Smith, Derek J ; Yu, Chenchen ; Kottkamp, Angelica C ; Atmar, Robert L ; Nayak, Seema U ; Follmann, Dean ; Benkeser, David ; Walter, Emmanuel B ; Frey, Sharon E
AbstractNeutralizing antibody titer has been a surrogate endpoint for guiding COVID-19 vaccine approval and use, although the pandemic’s evolution and the introduction of variant-adapted vaccine boosters raise questions as to this surrogate’s contemporary performance. For 985 recipients of an mRNA second bivalent or monovalent booster containing various Spike inserts [Prototype (Ancestral), Beta, Delta, and/or Omicron BA.1 or BA.4/5] in the COVAIL trial (NCT05289037), titers against 5 strains were assessed as correlates of risk of symptomatic COVID-19 (“COVID-19”) and as correlates of relative (Pfizer-BioNTech Omicron vs. Prototype) booster protection against COVID-19 over 6 months of follow-up during the BA.2-BA.5 Omicron-dominant period. Consistently across the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine platforms and across all variant Spike inserts assessed, both peak and exposure-proximal (“predicted-at-exposure”) titers correlated with lower Omicron COVID-19 risk in individuals previously infected with SARS-CoV-2, albeit significantly less so in naïve individuals [e.g., exposure-proximal hazard ratio per 10-fold increase in BA.1 titer 0.74 (95% CI 0.59, 0.94) for naïve vs. 0.41 (95% CI 0.23, 0.64) for non-naïve; interaction p = 0.013]. Neutralizing antibody titer was a strong inverse correlate of Omicron COVID-19 in non-naïve individuals and a weaker correlate in naïve individuals, posing questions about how prior infection alters the neutralization correlate.