BACKGROUND:Surgery remains a major contributor to healthcare costs and mortality from perioperative complications, yet long term national mortality trends are poorly defined.
METHODS:A population based analysis of U.S. mortality data (1999-2024) was conducted using the CDC WONDER database. High risk surgical deaths were identified by ICD-10 code Y83. Age adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were calculated, and Joinpoint regression estimated annual percentage changes (APCs).
RESULTS:Among 470,098 deaths, men comprised 54.7 %, with 76.0 % occurring in medical facilities. National AAMR declined from 8.1 (1999) to 3.4 (2015), rose to 7.9 (2021), then fell to 3.2 (2024). Mortality was highest among men, non Hispanic Black and American Indian/Alaska Native groups, and in non-metropolitan areas; Marked state level variation was observed, with the highest AAMRs in Mississippi, New Mexico, Wyoming, North Dakota, and West Virginia.
CONCLUSIONS:U.S. surgical mortality showed a three phase pattern of decline, rise, and reduction, with persistent demographic and state/regional disparities requiring targeted policy action.