It’s day 1 at the JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, and as the day progressed, new major themes emerged: What does the morning’s dealmaking tell us about biopharma’s recovery? And how will the incoming Trump administration shape what’s next for the industry?
Former FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb and ARCH Venture Partners co-founder Bob Nelsen, for example, both signaled at the Endpoints at #JPM25 event that there could be a friendly regulatory and innovation environment for the industry under the new administration — with Nelsen in particular celebrating the departure of Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan. “I think we need a stirring,” Nelsen said.
But both note there could be hits to vaccine confidence if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gets his way. Gottlieb is especially worried. “I’ve been very clear I don’t think he should be health secretary,” he said.
This morning had three early announcements: GSK will acquire the privately-held biotech IDRx for $1 billion upfront; Lilly is buying cancer startup Scorpion Therapeutics; and J&J will acquire Intra-Cellular Therapies.
Join us on Tuesday for another live blog detailing everything you need to know about biopharma’s most influential week.
Expect more shareholder activism in 2025 (1:30 pm PT):
Increased M&A activity could mean more shareholder activism in 2025, experts said on stage during the Endpoints at #JPM25 event. David Rosewater, a managing director at Morgan Stanley, said that because activists often ask for parts or all of a business to be sold, then a ripe deal environment invites more calls for change.”There is a fair amount of activity going on that hasn’t yet hit the public,” Rosewater said.
Lina Tetelbaum, corporate partner at Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz, said industry watchers should keep an eye on the rate of settlements. Because the deal environment is expected to be more favorable, activists could return to companies that they did not fully press on and more forcefully call for changes, she said.
— Max Bayer
Nelsen raises a glass to outgoing officials (11:45 am PT):
ARCH Venture Partners
co-founder
Bob Nelsen
thinks the next few months under the Trump administration will be good for the biopharma industry. He stopped short of saying he supports
President-elect Donald Trump
— and wouldn’t say directly if he is against
HHS
nominee
RFK Jr.
— but he said he’s in favor of a “good housecleaning.” “Throwing some rocks and stirring it up is a net good,” he said on stage at the Endpoints at #JPM25 event. “That doesn’t mean there isn’t going to be a lot of drama and maybe some bad things that come out of it.”
Nelsen said he’s particularly looking forward to some former administrative officials moving on. “Having
Lina Khan
and all these people move on — great. I’m having a few shots of tequila to celebrate that.”
— Nicole Wetsman
Gottlieb is worried about vaccines (11:30 am PT):
Former
FDA
commissioner
Scott Gottlieb
continued to lobby
against the nomination of
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
as secretary of HHS onstage at the Endpoints at #JPM25 event, saying the country cannot afford to further erode confidence in vaccines. Gottlieb believes that a single-digit percentage drop in uptake of the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine in areas around the country could lead to wider outbreaks.”That would be tragic,” Gottlieb said.
— Max Bayer
Pfizer wants to stay ahead of China (10:15 am PT):
Pfizer
CEO
Albert Bourla
said at JPM that “China is growing faster and faster, and we should not let them take the lead.” In recent months, multiple biotech startups have been propped up by assets in-licensed from China, and companies like
Merck
and
BioNTech
have acquired drugs from Chinese biopharmas. Bourla said Pfizer will invest in innovation to keep up. “Those are the two fundamentals, innovation and pace.”
— Kyle LaHucik
FDA is more comfortable with CAR-T (9:55 am PT):
Peter Marks
said Monday at an
Alliance for Regenerative Medicine
event the the
FDA
feels “reassured” about the secondary cancer risk related to CAR-T therapies after looking at the safety data, and the regulatory agency plans to “refine the warnings that we made last year.”
Marks said the secondary blood cancer cases came from a combination of a “very small” signal from CAR-T and a background rate of secondary cancer cases in the patients.
— Lei Lei Wu
Tokat is optimistic about deals so far (9:45 am PT):
Centerview’s
co-president of investment banking
Eric Tokat
isn’t as pessimistic about the dealmaking landscape as some colleagues. “I do believe today’s deals are a sign that hopefully ’25 will be in a good start and will continue this way,” he said on the Endpoints at #JPM25 stage.
—
Nicole
Wetsman
IDRx considered an IPO (9:35 am PT):
It turns out
IDRx
did run a dual-track process considering both an IPO and a buyout. IDRx chair
Ben Auspitz
told Endpoints’ Kyle LaHucik that the road to an
acquisition by
GSK
was “highly competitive” with “multiple suitors” in the mix.
— Jaimy Lee
Xaria is still tight lipped on targets (9:10 am PT):
During a talk at the Endpoints at #JPM25 event,
Xaira
CEO
Marc Tessier-Lavigne
provided a peek behind the curtain at what’s next for the billion-dollar AI biotech. He said they’re building the next versions of RFdiffusion and RFantibody, leading AI models originally out of
David Baker
‘s lab. The goal is to tackle hard-to-drug targets, with Tessier-Lavigne specifically mentioning multipass membrane proteins as an opportunity.”That requires better algorithms, more compute, and also more data,” he said. “We’re on that path.” Xaira’s pipeline, though, remains tightly under wraps: Tessier-Lavigne declined to divulge specific targets or a timeline to reaching the clinic.
— Andrew Dunn
A nonprofit is focusing on East Asian American leaders (
9:05 am PT):
A group of biotech investors and repeat entrepreneurs formed a nonprofit
focused on
getting more East Asian American leaders into the C-suite. Dubbed
ElevAAte
, its board includes
Architect Therapeutics
CEO
Angie You
,
TCGX
founder
Chen Yu
and
C
andid Therapeutics
CEO
Ken Song
. According to the nonprofit, East Asian Americans comprise 6% of board seats and 7% of C-suite roles among a sample of 181 publicly-traded biopharmas based in the US. That’s compared to Asian Americans holding 25% of the industry’s professional entry-level positions.
— Kyle LaHucik
There’s skepticism around the deal signal (8:35 am PT):
Despite a flurry of dealmaking on Monday, biotech investor
Brad Loncar
took to X
to say he doesn’t think the morning’s deals say much about the end of the biotech slump. He wrote that
J&J
‘s acquisition of
Intra-Cellular Therapies
is “nice,” but he expects investor concern about the future of
Moderna
and
Regeneron
.
Mirador Therapeutics
CEO
Mark McKenna
echoed that sentiment from the Endpoints at #JPM25 stage. “I would not look at the one deal with J&J and say we’re in the clear,” he said. The XBI
$XBI
, the closely-watched biotech index, was down about 2% on Monday morning.
— Jaimy Lee
The Uber app in SF is on-brand (8:25 am PT):
Anyone else noting the on-point banking ads in the
Uber
app targeting healthcare investors? So far, as I’ve waited (and waited and waited) for a car, I’ve seen ads for
Mizuho, HSBC Innovation Banking
, and
Bridge Bank
’s life science group. Even a CRO —
Novotech
— showed up.
— Jaimy Lee
IPOs vs buyouts (7:35 am PT):
Are Monday’s
Scorpion Therapeutics
and
IDRx
buyouts a sign that IPOs are still tough to get done? Or did those companies run dual-track processes that garnered enough pharma interest to beat out the prospects of a Nasdaq debut? The cancer startups
—
which were founded in 2020 and 2021, respectively
—
each raised more than $100 million over the summer and are already in the clinic. That’s the type of profile that public market investors have sought out during the last two years of IPOs.
— Kyle LaHucik
Lilly buys Scorpion (7:00 am PT):
Eli
Lilly
joined
the conference’s early dealmaking frenzy with an up to $2.5 billion purchase of cancer biotech
Scorpion
Therapeutics
. The startup shares the same founder as
Loxo
Oncology
, which formed the basis for Lilly’s oncology pipeline via an $8 billion buyout five years ago around this time. —
Kyle LaHucik
Nvidia is still pushing into healthcare (6:00 am PT):
Nvidia
will present in the Westin this morning at 9:45 am PT. The chip giant just announced new partnerships with some heavy hitters in healthcare:
Iqvia
, the
Arc Institute
,
Illumina
and the
Mayo Clinic
. Details are limited on each of those tie-ups, but it’s the latest reminder of the mutual interest between Nvidia and the healthcare industry. Last we heard, the company’s revenue stream from healthcare was over $1 billion — we’ll be watching for any update on that number.
One other number to further explain Nvidia’s day 1 presence at JPM, despite not being a healthcare company: $3.32 trillion. That’s its market cap, which is nearly twice as much as the other 17 companies — combined — presenting Monday in JPM’s two biggest rooms. —
Andrew Dunn
J&J makes a move (5:30 am PT):
And it’s official —
Johnson & Johnson
is
acquiring
Intra-Cellular Therapies
for $14.6 billion. It’s the biggest biotech M&A transaction since 2023. J&J presents at the Westin this morning. —
Nicole Wetsman
Hello from San Francisco (4:00 am PT):
Good morning from JPM! Today is the first official day of the 2025 conference, but executives (and Endpoints staff) have been trickling into San Francisco all weekend — along with news. ICYMI, on Sunday, the leadership of gene editing startup
Tune Therapeutics
exclusively told
Endpoints News
that they’ve raised $175 million in a Series B.
And don’t miss the Endpoints at #JPM25 event, which kicks off at 8 am PT with an interview with
Xaira CEO Marc Tessier-Lavigne
. Check out the rest of the
agenda
, and
register
for free to watch the live stream.
— Nicole Wetsman
Deal rumors circulate (4:00 am PT):
When it comes to dealmaking, it’s a will-they-or-won’t-they kind of moment. So far,
GSK
has announced it’s buying
IDRx
for $1 billion upfront, and
Biogen
put in an offer
to buy its partner
Sage Therapeutics
.
J&J
is also
reportedly considering
an acquisition of
Intra-Cellular Therapies
. But it’s still far too soon to say whether the industry’s sputtering recovery and record-low dealmaking will come to an end in 2025.
— Jaimy Lee
JPM isn’t the only meeting that matters (4:00 am PT):
The Jefferies healthcare conference in London has been vying for the spotlight over the years, and it’s starting to close the gap. “Jefferies in London became so big (basically got to see most of the people already), so I am skipping JPM this year,”
Forbion
general partner
Wouter Joustra
told Endpoints. It’s a notable remark from a leader of the Dutch investment firm, which had a breakout year in 2024. That said, his team isn’t totally foregoing the event in San Francisco.
— Kyle LaHucik